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Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Hillary trails 8 of 11 Republicans in North Carolina

News coming from North Carolina is all bad news for Hillary. Public Policy Polling which is headquartered in the Tar Heel State states;
Clinton trails 8 of the 11 Republican hopefuls in hypothetical match ups, although most of the margins are close. The strongest performers against her are Ben Carson who leads 47/40 and Marco Rubio who has a 45/41 advantage. Carson and Rubio have been the strongest performing Republicans in the general election in all three of the polls we've done since the debate.
Doing the worst against Clinton are Rand Paul who trails 44/40, Chris Christie who trails 40/39, and Jeb Bush who ties Clinton at 42. In between, all with leads of 1-3 points over Clinton, are Carly Fiorina (42/41), John Kasich (41/40), Ted Cruz (45/43), Mike Huckabee (46/44), Donald Trump (45/42), and Scott Walker (44/41).
Although technically North Carolina is still classified as a swing state that is the result of a single election. Prior to 2008 North Carolina was a typical red state. In 2008 it went for Obama, retired Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole replacing her with Kay Hagan and elected Democrat Bev Purdue as governor. Since that aberration Republicans have won every major election and the state went for Romney in 2012. Taken with the results of a recent Quinnipiac poll showing Hillary losing to a host of Republicans in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia it appears the finely tuned Clinton machine is slinging oil by the quart.
Turning to the Republican primary Donald Trump widened his lead to 24%, Ben Carson placed second with 14% and Jeb Bush grabbed 13% to show.

Donald Trump 24%
Ben Carson 14%
Jeb Bush 13%
Ted Cruz 10%
Marco Rubio 9%
Carly Fiorina 6%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Scott Walker 6%
Rand Paul 3%
Chris Christie 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
John Kasich 1%
Rick Perry 1%
All others <1%
Undecided 3%
Trump has a net favorability rating of + 7 with 47 % having a favorable opinion of the Donald and 40% an unfavorable. Ben Carson has the best favorable ratio with a 66% /11% while Chris Christie has the worse at 23% / 55%.

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