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Monday, August 31, 2015

Ben Carson ties Donald Trump

The new Monmouth Poll coming out of Iowa is full of surprises. When asked, " Regardless of who you support, what do you think the country needs more in the next president: someone with government experience who knows how to get things done OR someone outside of government who can bring a new approach to Washington? " Sixty-six percent answered someone outside of government. That shows in the respondents' selection of candidates. All of the top three candidates are outsiders. Donald Trump and Ben Carson are tied at 23% each and Carly Fiorina runs third with 10%. Ted Cruz run fourth with 9 % and the inevitable Jeb Bush is in sixth place with just 5%.
Clearly Trump draws Tea Party support which I would have found surprising just a month ago. Trump leads Carson 27% to 22% among Tea Party supporters, with Cruz at 16%. Among non-supporters of the Tea Party, Carson takes a 25% to 19% lead over Trump. The Tea Party gave the Republicans the House in 2010 and the Senate in 2014 while the establishment fumbled the 2012 election and lost with Romney. In 2016 the Tea Party will win or lose the presidential election and presently it looks like a win.
Here are the details.

Ben Carson 23%
Donald Trump 23%
Carly Fiorina 10%
Ted Cruz 9%
Scott Walker 7%
Jeb Bush 5%
John Kasich 4%
Marco Rubio 4%
Rand Paul 3%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Chris Christie 1%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Rick Perry 1%
George Pataki <1%
Lindsey Graham 0%
Jim Gilmore 0%

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