Clearly Trump draws Tea Party support which I would have found surprising just a month ago. Trump leads Carson 27% to 22% among Tea Party supporters, with Cruz at 16%. Among non-supporters of the Tea Party, Carson takes a 25% to 19% lead over Trump. The Tea Party gave the Republicans the House in 2010 and the Senate in 2014 while the establishment fumbled the 2012 election and lost with Romney. In 2016 the Tea Party will win or lose the presidential election and presently it looks like a win.
Here are the details.