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Thursday, January 11, 2018

Ohio's First Gas-Fired Power Plant Goes On Stream.



This is a big deal! We have been writing about Ohio's Utica Shale since drilling began in 2010 because of the potential benefits to Ohio and the country as a whole. Most of the drilling and pipeline news appeals to a small segment of the population so understandably it doesn't get much media play. With literally and no, I do not mean virtually, ceremony Switzerland-based Advanced Power announced the beginning of operations of its 700MW gas-fired plant built at a cost of $899 million in Carroll County. The international contractor, Bechtel Corporation, was the prime contractor on the job. According to Bechtel, the Carroll County power plant meets National Ambient Air Quality Standards and will produce 50% lesser carbon dioxide and 90% less sulfur dioxide and nitrogen dioxide when compared to a conventional coal-fired power plant.
Served by an American Electric Power Company 345 kV transmission line and the Tennessee Gas Pipeline system, the power plant sells into the PJM Interconnection market. The Carroll County Energy plant, as it’s called, is owned by a consortium of equity investors that include Advanced Power, TIAA-CREF, Chubu Electric Power Co., Ullico and Prudential. The plant produces enough electricity to service about 750,000 home and has a full time workforce of 22 people. Without the need to unload, move and prepare coal for burning and the onerous labor of disposing of the ash, plant operation is not labor intensive.
This the second generation of gas fired power plants which have made natural gas the most efficient fossil fuel around. Natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) power plants use two turbines to generate electricity in tandem, with the waste heat from a primary gas turbine being used to drive a secondary steam turbine.In other words it's like the slaughter house that uses all of the pig except the squeal.

The Wreck That Is Hillary Clinton.

I'm surprised this parody hasn't got more views.

Monday, January 8, 2018

Admiral Mike Rogers-Unsung Hero

  One of the many uncovered stories in the media--including Fox--is the story of Admiral Mike Rogers, head of the NSA who is retiring in a few months.
  The Last Refuge has covered the service of Admiral Rogers.
  If you'll recall, there was quote a stir when Rogers went to visit Trump on November 17, 2016.
  Why?
  Because we now believe that Admiral Rogers was apparently the only head of a US government security agency who was willing to let Trump in on the secret that he was being--and had been--surveilled in his own quarters.
   After Rogers visit, Trump promptly moved his operating headquarters On November 18 from Trump Tower to his golf club in New Jersey.
  Defense Secretary Ash Carter and Director of National Intelligence James Clapper wanted the Admiral fired because of "performance issues," according to US News & World Report. They also had complaints that they were concerned about a "division" in deciding how to handle intelligence matters among the heads of the departments.
Meanwhile, the 57-year-old admiral's recent trip to New York to meet with President-elect Donald Trump on Thursday also caused "consternation" for the Obama administration, the Post said, in part because it appears unprecedented for an officer like Rogers to conduct such a meeting and not inform his superiors.
   Earlier in the year, you may recall that Devin Nunes held a press conference after being called to the White House to receive certain unidentified information. The Last Refuge, which has the best rundown I've read on this situation reminds us:
House Intelligence Committee Chairman, Devin Nunes, then held a brief press conference  and stated he has been provided intelligence reports brought to him by unnamed sources that include ‘significant information’ about President-Elect Trump and his transition team.
   So the information was seeping out.
   Sundance writes that he/she believes that Rogers learned of the subterfuge in 2016, told the court on October 26 of the violations, then made this unscheduled visit to Trump Tower without informing those snakes who were working on destroying Trump from within the country.
  This is a story of enormous importance that needs to be told. Sundance's post at The Last Refuge is well worth reading in its entirety.
  Maybe somewhere down the line we'll hear this story more broadly. As for now, its doubtful.
  One thing's for certain.
  We do owe a vote of thanks to Admiral Rogers for his service and, IMHO, to Sundance at The Last Refuge for his/her tireless reportage & insight
  There's more on General Flynn's story too, over there
  There's a reason Trump has surrounded himself with military leaders and his own security team.

Go ahead. Run Oprah.

    Hoosierman knows I wasn't always on the Trump fan wagon but the past year has proven to be shocking in our POTUS's pursuit of conservative principles. I simply don't believe ANY other elected Republican would have done what Trump has done in one year. He seems impervious to the vicious smears of the press.
    Now, I tried to watch those ridiculous Golden Globe awards. I really, really did.
    After about 15 minutes of watching heaving bosoms, slit skirts, self congratulatory lauds, long haired men wearing sunglasses in a lighted room and an underlying contempt for their audience (translation: people like me), I realized I had only seen 1 of the shows up for awards. (That series would be the kiddie scare fest Stranger Things. )
    The truth is that anything that comes out of Hollywood stinks. As an aficionado of British television, I can tell you why.
    Hollywood products are banal, predictable and terribly written. I don't know how much writers get paid but it's too much. I heard on the news today that Seth Myers has something like 24 writers for those couple jokes he does on some show and last night. 
    Hollywood also assumes we are all as stupid as they are.
    That, I think, is what bores me so much: the assumption that we just want shoot em up, bloody action flicks with lots of sex and shapely bodies.
    I had the misfortune of being blackmailed to see the latest Star Wars flick; I almost fell asleep except that every now and then a big boom shook my seat.
  This morning when the news informed us that Hollywood is goo-gooing over Oprah as POTUS, I was not surprised.
   Admittedly Oprah does have a few things in common with Trump; she's an entrepreneur who has made a fortune in reality tv, but I say go ahead and run her as your presidential candidate. 
  Crow about her eloquence, her "hugs," her weight. 
  Bleh. To many of us, Oprah represents everything that is wrong with the Left Coast. They're self absorbed nitwits who tweet from their hot tubs while sipping whiskey. They haven't a clue what our lives are like.
   Even if we don't count Oprah's cozy relationship with Weinstein, she has a past, too, including a disastrous sex scandal at the school she ran in South Africa.
  Same goes for Michelle Obama-that nasty condescending woman who only loves America when one of her family is in office.
  Looks like Joe Biden, of he of the toupee and fake white teeth, is the best hope of the Democrat loons.

Saturday, January 6, 2018

Weed, Greed And The Investor Class

I remember working with a particularly opinionated carpenter who refused to allow his wife to buy a hoe. Eventually he relented with the proviso that it be kept out of sight and that she never ask him to use it. He explained that as a youngster and a teen he had hoed so much tobacco that he swore once he left his dad's farm he would never even own a hoe. Maybe if my poor friend, Marvin, had been more adequately compensated he would have been more receptive to the joys that hard work and industry bring although, candidly, he was something less than the personification of the Protestant Ethic.
Today, tobacco farmers have fallen on hard times but even in the heady days of the New Deal and the Great Society it was a rough row to hoe. A clever mechanism to raise the price of tobacco was introduced in FDR's New Deal and it remained in effect until 2014. At the inception of the program each tobacco grower was given an acreage allotment. Said growers were only allowed to plant that allotted number of acres in tobacco. This, of course, created an artificial shortage thus raising the price of the tobacco and ultimately the compensation. As the Carolinas, Kentucky, and Virginia began voting Republican the growers and everyone associated with that industry became morally suspect tantamount to Walmart shoppers and NRA members until that opprobrium was expressed in the cessation of federal largess.
Thursday's announcement from Attorney General Jeff Sessions that he would no longer participate the the prosecutorial misfeasance so dear to the hearts of his predecessors hit Washington insiders like a snow bomb. "The attorney general of the United States has just delivered an extravagant holiday gift to the drug cartels... " moaned Rep Dana Rohrabacher of Huntington Beach, California. As idiotic as the Congressman's comments were they were very much in tune with much of the Twitter hyperbole. The action was called a war on federalism, an attack on state's rights and of course an assault on all people of color.


Attorney General Session has simply nullified the Cole Memo which more or less withdrew the DOJ for the battle against marijuana. Authored in 2013 by Deputy Attorney General James Cole the memo expressed the desire that states “prevent diversion of marijuana outside the regulated system,” prohibit access to marijuana by minors, and replace the “illicit marijuana trade that funds criminal enterprises with a tightly regulated market in which revenues are tracked and accounted for.”

All of sudden conservatives united with libertarians in their love of " a tightly regulated market in which revenues are tracked and accounted for." Of course the alleged medical value was touted but also a consistent theme of grass roots demand for legal weed. One must admit that the has been a push toward liberalizing marijuana laws but how much of that is grass root and how much of that is investor driven? Several times, both online and on television, I heard the astounding claim that legalization of marijuana would create a $40 billion industry and 400,000 jobs. Hmm. That is some industry! It generates $100,000 per employee! Talk about marginal productivity! Poor Marvin was born too soon! Had he been hoeing Mary Jane instead tobacco he would have been a millionaire before he was 30. Of course the grass is always greener in sunny California.
Oh, Uncle Tom, what makes the grass so green?
Horse shit, Little Eva, Horse shit.
Eventually I was able to trace the 400,000 jobs claim to the Aceview Group where cannabis meets capital.
Our Mission: To forge a principled and profitable industry from the ashes of cannabis prohibition.
It is probably accurate to state that Aceview speaks for California's financial elite. The author O. Henry once described New York City as an aviary overpopulated with jays. He never saw Silicon Valley. If ever there was a group of people so full of themselves. Enough, I'll let them tell you how smart they are.


"We've raised the bar so that only serious players can qualify" How damned egalitarian! As it turns out Aceview is also a political player and smart enough to be bipartisan when it come to handing out cash. It seems Congressman Rohrabacher earns his keep!
Congress                                            Senate
Buck, Kenneth R (R-CO) $1000 Bennet, Michael F (D-CO) $5000
Carroll, Morgan (D-CO) $400 Gillibrand, Kirsten (D-NY) $1000
Cohen, Steve (D-TN) $3000 Harris, Kamala D (D-CA) $1000
Crist, Charlie (D-FL) $1000 Heck, Joe (R-NV) $1000
DeGette, Diana (D-CO) $1,000 McGinty, Katie (D-PA) $2500
Gallego, Ruben (D-AZ) $1,000 Paul, Rand (R-KY) $5000
Grijalva, Raul M (D-AZ) $1,000 Van Hollen, Chris (D-MD) $1000
Heck, Dennis (D-WA) $1,000 Wyden, Ron (D-OR) $6000
Huffman, Jared (D-CA) $1,000
Lee, Barbara (D-CA) $1,000
Lieu, Ted (D-CA) $1,000
McClintock, Tom (R-CA) $3,350
McDermott, Jim (D-WA) $1,000
Murphy, Pat (D-IA) $5,000
Perlmutter, Ed (D-CO) $2,000
Rohrabacher, Dana (R-CA) $5,000
Rosen, Jacky (D-NV) $1,000
Schwartz, Gail (D-CO) $1,000
Sinema, Kyrsten (D-AZ) $1,500
Smigiel, Mike (R-MD) $500
Swalwell, Eric (D-CA) $1,000
Titus, Dina (D-NV) $1,500
Lest you think the Aceview Group is the only player in the investment community let me cite the investment web site, Seeking Alpha.
The cannabis industry has been very event driven ever since legalization began at the start of 2014 in Colorado. The article, "The State Of Marijuana Stocks And What To Look For In 2018," highlights how industry events have helped shape the market for cannabis stocks. Typically, where we've seen political events trigger moves for marijuana stocks, it was industry events that took on the spotlight this year. Beer, wine, and spirits giant Constellation Brands (STZ) made a minority investment into Canadian-based Canopy Growth (OTCPK:TWMJF), which not only triggered a move for the market in general but also more so for Canadian issuers specifically.
Second, and most recently, the first NYSE listed marijuana ETF went live during Christmas week on December 26th. The ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (NYSEARCA:MJX), which was previously an ETF targeting Latin American real estate, currently invests in 30 different national and international companies involved in the space.
This includes companies that have a hand more closely tied to the plant and others that are more "pick and shovel" style companies. The majority of its holdings are in 12 companies right now with over 60% of these stocks being Canadian listed (and dually listed in the US with the five letter symbol ending in "F")



So far the pot industry has yet to produce any company tantamount to RJ. Reynolds, Lorillard Tobacco or American Tobacco and it probably never will. Tobacco was grown by dirty, shirtless, men in bib overalls who labored in the hot sun. Legal marijuana is raised in a controlled environment by sissies in white lab coats. The pot industry aims for mass consumption but controlled production, production that is a tightly regulated in which revenues are tracked and accounted for. Kudos to CNBC who cut through the states right and free market sloganeering and delivered a balanced perspective on the business aspect of "big pot".
In an interview that is not in the library Michelle Caruso-Cabrera and Melissa Lee shot down the notion that in order to reap the supposed benefit of medical marijuana large quantities of weed must be grown. They noted that already there exists a huge array of synthetic cannabinoids that can be produced in a lab, negating the argument that Jeff Sessions poses a national health risk.


Kevin Sabet, is a  professor of psychiatry, a former member of the Obama Administration and a contributor to the Huffington Post. He makes clear in this interview that those who should fear Jeff Sessions the most is the investor class.It fair to say his views are close to my own.



Don’t blame Jeff Sessions for enforcing the law.

Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Video: Iranian Insurgents Attack the Elite Revolutionary Guard.

Not a Bill Still fan? Okay, fast forward to the 50 second mark. According to Still this video was shot on New Years Day and smuggled out of Iran. It show the protesters? rebels? attacking members of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards and showing little mercy.

The Calm Before the Storm? Over 9000 Sealed Indictments in Federal Courts

 Click to enlarge
What the hell is going on? As of Dec. 22, 2017, there were 9,294 sealed indictments in federal courts . This includes 1,224 in the central district of California, which includes Los Angeles; 194 in Washington; and 248 in the southern district of New York. It also includes 225 for the southern District of Indiana which does not begin to compare population wise with any of the aforementioned jurisdictions.  These data are collected  by researchers and gathered from the Public Access to Court Electronic Records (PACER) service of the federal judiciary. More.

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Treat Your Gentry Well

Nothing says entitled quite so much as personal road a from ones homes to ones office on public property. Move over, King Louis, California has a brand new Sun King.
How convenient... Plans reveal Elon Musk's tunnel under L.A. will actually go from his office to his Bel Air homes
If the tone of the foreign press is a bit catty not to worry. The domestic press abounds with praise and platitudes. Example: "Digging tunnels is a laborious process and the billionaire plans to develop new drilling technology that would dig and reinforce tunnels as it goes along." It should be noted that Musk is the owner of a second hand tunneling machine and not a designer of anything mechanical but why split hairs?
Should anyone be surprised by this?
"His Boring Co. has applied for an excavation permit to extend its electric-vehicle tunnel in Hawthorne into Los Angeles, connecting the South Bay, Westside and San Fernando Valley, city officials said, according to Daily Breeze. Although the city's Bureau of Engineering did not release details of the permit request, Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti has supported the plan."
Applied for an excavation permit? Can anyone apply for one of those permits? Sounds so routine, something akin to seeking permission to build a chicken coop behind the garage. As a matter of fact it is quickly become routine for servile elected officials of both parties on both coasts to issue permits to develop public land as his lordship pleases.
From the Baltimore Sun;
( Governor Larry ) Hogan announced his support for the project on Thursday. He posted photos of himself, Rahn, Boring Co. executives and Anne Arundel County Executive Steve Schuh touring the fenced-off site near the intersection of Maryland 175 and the Baltimore-Washington Parkway in Hanover where the tunneling is expected to begin. Administration officials said they will treat the hyperloop like a utility, and permitted it in the same way the state allows electric companies to burrow beneath public rights-of-way. “We have all sorts of utilities beneath our roadways,” Rahn said. “In essence, this didn't need anything more than a utility permit.”
Of course. What else, pray thee tell? A written contract? Legislative approval? Liability insurance?
The state is giving exclusive use of 10.2 miles of state owned right of way to a single company and it's put in the same category as laying fiber optic cable.



Got that? It will be built entirely with private money presumably for the purpose of making money yet with no bidding process, no legislative action and evidently no bonding requirements to protect the taxpayers.
A Maryland Department of Transportation representative on Wednesday told Capital News Service it would not disclose those details citing "confidential commercial information," and also indicated that no public dollars were being spent on the project.
Again, the detail are confidential. No cronyism here!
Lest readers score the proposed Baltimore to Washington hyperloop a fait accompli there is one sticking point. The gullible state of Maryland owns just 10.2 miles of the approximate 35 mile Baltimore-Washington Parkway. The remainder is federally owned and before this hyperloop to nowhere is begun someone in the media should ask the obvious. First, where are you going to put the dirt? A 12 foot diameter bore 10 miles long should yield about 225,000 cubic yards of dirt. Sure that problem is solvable but should not the solution be announced up front? Second, will the Boring Company be required to post performance / decommissioning bonding? Without bonding the taxpayers bear the entire risk of a very risky project. What is the state's cut of the action in the off chance the project does make money?

Sunday, December 24, 2017

Silicon Valley; Where Cronyism Meets Capitalism

Alas, Uber the iconic if not somewhat dirty faced transportation wunderkind is merely a taxi service or so ruled the European Union's highest court. In rather direct prose the court wrote Uber, “must be regarded as being inherently linked to a transport service.” In other words it's a natural litter mate of Yellow Cab and Checker Cab companies and, oh God forbid, subject to the same rules and regulations as everyone else. Probably we can expect similar challenges to Uber's "technology platform" status stateside and it's been reported that Uber is the subject of a federal investigation probably owing to its theft of trade secrets from Waymo. Tsk,Tsk.
Elsewhere in Washington the FCC headed by Ajit Pai shot down in cold blood the Obama era Net Neutrality rule much to the consternation of Netflix and Google who labeled the action "misguided". It is probably a good indication that a minority has arrived when an administration's two most visible members ( Pai and Nikkei Haley ) are the most slandered in the popular media. Both know the value of Machiavelli's advice to the Prince:
“ One should wish to be both, but, because it is difficult to unite them in one person, it is much safer to be feared than loved.”
The only guiding principle coming from Big Tech appears to be "What's in it for me?" To date Elon Musk has captured $4.9 billion in federal subsidies which makes Solyndra's $550 million bankruptcy look like penny poker. His Tesla Motors is facing a lawsuit from the state of Michigan because Tesla has not followed the franchise rule that every other auto manufacturer must as called for, according to Michigan, by the interstate commerce clause. To his supporters it's the "dormant interstate commerce clause" an anachronism that should br judicially euthanized. Now I do have a libertarian bent and you are better off listening to even a bad lawyer than me but that said let's add a bit of historical context. In the glory days of FDR's New Deal and the Agriculture Adjustment Act one Roscoe Filburn had the temerity to grow 12 bushels of wheat above his allotment which was intended for his own use. Not since the Teapot Dome scandal! He was fined for that transgression and the Supreme Court agreed..
Roscoe Filburn was a farmer in what is now suburban Dayton, Ohio[5] who admitted producing wheat in excess of the amount permitted. He maintained, however, that the excess wheat was produced for his private consumption on his own farm. Since it never entered commerce at all, much less interstate commerce, he argued that it was not a proper subject of federal regulation under the Commerce Clause.
In July 1940, pursuant to the Agricultural Adjustment Act (AAA) of 1938, Filburn's 1941 allotment was established at 11.1 acres (4.5 ha) and a normal yield of 20.1 bushels of wheat per acre. Filburn was given notice of the allotment in July 1940 before the Fall planting of his 1941 crop of wheat, and again in July 1941, before it was harvested. Despite these notices, Filburn planted 23 acres (9.3 ha) and harvested 239 more bushels than was allowed from his 11.9 acres (4.8 ha) of excess area.[6]
The Federal District Court ruled in favor of Filburn. The Act required an affirmative vote of farmers by plebiscite to implement the quota. Much of the District Court decision related to the way in which the Secretary of Agriculture had campaigned for passage: The District Court had held that the Secretary's comments were improper. The government then appealed to the Supreme Court of the United States, which called the District Court's holding against the campaign methods which led to passage of the quota by farmers a "manifest error". The court then went on to uphold the Act under the Interstate Commerce Claus.
Again context. Even at today's wheat prices ( about $4.25 per bushel ) Filburn's ill gotten gain would amount to about $80. Law is law but Musk's supporters would have us believe that law is archaic.
Unrelated to Michigan's attempt to abridge Musk's right to do as he damn well pleases another issue has arisen. Google, Uber, Lyft and of course Tesla want' to use the power of the federal government to impose on the states standards for autonomous vehicles. All of a sudden the interstate commerce clause should no longer be dormant.
We are facing an opportunity to expand the options for transportation by car by also making it smarter and safer,” said committee chairman, U.S. Sen. John Thune, R-S.D.
But engineers must first shield vehicles from cyber attacks and said self-driving cars must operate seamlessly in bad weather — two significant challenges for the auto industry, said Mary (Missy) Louise Cummings, director of Duke University's Humans and Autonomy Lab and Duke Robotics.
"I am decidedly less optimistic," she told the panel. Self-driving cars are "absolutely not ready for widespread deployment, and certainly not ready for humans to be completely taken out of the driver’s seat."
"Consistency, thou art a jewel,” Shakespeare.
By all means let's make our cars safer and smarter but just for good measure let's allow Silicon Valley to develop artificially intelligent congressmen and senators who can get in out of the rain.

Thursday, December 21, 2017

The Energy Drill


How quickly things change! I first began writing about the Utica Shale more than 7 years ago and as the above chart illustrates the US has moved into the lead in global hydrocarbon production. A perusal of the International Energy Agency's data shows the United States is first in the world in both in oil and natural gas production. Parenthetically it ranks second in coal production in spite of the best efforts of Obama's EPA and its 8 year war on that solid hydrocarbon.
How is this possible? The peak oil theory posited the uninspiring assertion that readily recoverable oil deposits has been declining since about 1975. But how, nearly half a century later, do oil and gas set new production records every year? The quick answer is hydraulic fracturing or fracking. Very basically fracking is the process where after small explosions fracture the rock containing the oil or gas water is forced into the fractures to expand them. The water contains sand which holds the fractures open allowing the gas or oil to escape and be brought to the surface. As stated, fracking is the quick answer as it is employed in the majority of drilling operations but with very little publicity the oil and gas industry has become high tech.
How high tech? High enough that drilling the horizontal leg is done with the aid of a mouse; a mouse that sends signals to the CPU in the drilling head 10,000 feet below the surface. With the new technology come new drilling strategies. In the day when George C. Scott and Faye Dunaway were drilling for Oklahoma crude the trick was to find the pools where the oil that had seeped from the stone had collected. Today grids are mapped out and drilled horizontally. This post in a shale blog caught my attention.

Eclipse can’t help it–they keep setting new world records for the longest lateral (horizontal) wells drilled–in the entire world! It began last year when Eclipse drilled what they call their first “super lateral” Utica well in Guernsey County, OH–the Purple Hayes, at 18,500 feet long (see Eclipse Res. 1Q16: Drills Longest Shale Well Ever! “Purple Hayes”). Since that time, the Purple Hayes well has consistently been the #1 oil producing well in the state. Earlier this year Eclipse drilled a new longest-ever well, also in Guernsey County, the Great Scott 3H well at 19,300 feet long (see Great Scott! Eclipse Drills New Longest Lateral in World – in Utica). And now, Eclipse has drilled yet another record-breaker in Guernsey County. Last Friday the company reported it has drilled the Outlaw C 11H, a Utica well that is an incredible 19,500 feet long horizontally (total measured depth of 27,750 feet). That’s 3.7 miles long! 

It all very simple. Just drill down 8000 feet, make a hard right and proceed to drill another 18,500 feet which is more than twice the length of the Golden Gate Bridge. Great Scott had something going for it that George Scott and Faye didn't have. It had a computer assisted down hole motor. The video below features the Weatherford Revolution RSS smart drill motor replete with CPU, lithium ion battery, and bi-directional communications with the surface. It's not essential to understand exactly how this gadget works to appreciate the though and precision machine work that goes into it. While Weatherford produced the best YouTube video it's hardly alone. Halliburton and Baker Hughes also produce down hole motors.

 

In summation Eclipse completed the drilling phase of the well in just 17 days. With the aid of Nine Energy Service, a wireline contractor, it completed 124 fracking operations. Cost of the well was $854 per foot.

Merry Christmas, Private Slovik

Just in time for Christmas! Blue state Democrats, smarting over President Trump's penultimate legislative accomplishment, namely the passage of tax reform, are determined to put a lump of coal in the voters' stockings. What could be more Christmassy than a state Obamacare mandate? Not surprisingly the states most likely to explore a coverage requirement are the nearly dozen running their own Obamacare marketplaces, which tend to have Democratic governors.
Replicating the the wisdom of Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi at the state level is fraught with challenges. The state of Washington does not have an income tax and creating one just to poke the voters in the eye might be a bit audacious. In California a new tax would require a two thirds vote by both legislative houses. Massachusetts, on the other hand, thanks to political savant, former Governor Mitt Romney, already has a mandate on the books.

Monday, March 6, 2017

Out Of The Mouths Of Babes

Certainly precocious but somehow I feel she is best viewed from afar.


Saturday, January 21, 2017

A LOVE revolution of invectives and trash

  Quoting Madonna at today's rally:
"Welcome to the revolution of love......To our detractors that insist that this march will never add up to anything, f--- you."
  After confessing that she's been thinking about "blowing up the White House," the *star* informed her audience, the Secret Service, the FBI, the American people and the world that, rather than blow up the White House, she would "choose love."
Courtesy Tsilli Pines



Courtesy CBS
  Nice little revolution ya got there.

Slate: the BLM KIND are rioters, looters and violent disrupters.

      Monitoring FaceBook has been quite the job the past few months. 
  One poster actually decried the Trump administration's lack of doing anything about squelching the bomb threats called into numerous Jewish Centers the last few months. This was posted 4 hours after he was sworn in.
  Another wailed that "dumb and mean" people are too much in evidence, referencing this article over at Slate, in which the author claims that Trump has declared "a bracing message implicitly directed to supporters of the Black Lives Matter movement: Your kind is not welcome in Trump's America."
  Since Trump has declared himself a "law and order" president, Slate complains, this means he is anti-BLM:
“The Trump Administration will be a law and order administration,” reads a page on the website titled "Standing Up for Our Law Enforcement Community." It continues: “President Trump will honor our men and women in uniform and will support their mission of protecting the public. The dangerous anti-police atmosphere in America is wrong. The Trump Administration will end it.”
In case it wasn’t clear who and what the Trump administration blames for this “anti-police atmosphere,” the website clarified: “Our job is not to make life more comfortable for the rioter, the looter, or the violent disrupter.”
  The author laments that "it was chilling to see such unambiguous evidence of his contempt for those who've protested against police violence...."
   Well.
  I'm glad to see that the Left is finally admitting that BLM is a group implicitly made up of rioters, looters and violent disrupters.

The truth about Chelsea Manning

  Quite a punk, unwilling to follow orders, eager to say "I can't" and not very willing to actually work hard, according to the personal account of one who entered service with him.
What is not accurate is the false and felonious  image of the U.S. military on which the defense of her conduct has been, at its root, predicated: that somehow everyone in her formative years in the military was practically part of a tribe of 6’2”, overly-aggressive Alpha males pumping testosterone out their pores who ganged up on the smallest in the group and tore her apart out of hyper-machismo intolerance; that War is so brutish and nasty, that Warriors too must be. That is simply not accurate. Chelsea Manning wasn’t being picked on at the Shark Attack when the Drill Sergeants said she had to lift her own bag like everyone else, and she said she couldn’t. She wasn’t being picked on when those Soldiers tried to help motivate her to lift the Jerry Can over her head and even picked up their own and did the exercise again, with her, out of solidarity. And when she faked a choking fit in the middle of the Dining Facility, it wasn’t because someone else was tormenting her – she was tormenting herself.

Women's march goes raunchy

  Ok.
  Well.
  If you're not exhausted from 48 hours of watching Trump's inauguration, you might make the mistake of tuning into CNN, which is covering wall to wall the numerous persons who have turned out to see celebrities bark cliches, swaying bulging thighs squeezed into stretch pants, unintelligible screams in unison and purpose, then be my guest.
  Newly invigorated (from both the left and the right) from yesterday's festivities, we have the women's march today, including one Ashley Judd talking about her periods, her blood stained pants and Donald Trump having sexual thoughts about his daughter.
  All those comments are incredibly disgusting but I guess what I find most revolting is Judd's "Southern" (read: Black) accent reminiscent of Hillary Clinton's "Ah'm noways tar-ed" speech which was delivered to a primarily Black audience.
  Of course, in Lefty World this would be called "cultural appropriation."
  But then, I guess that's only if you are other than Lefty.
  Warning. Offensive and culturally appropriative language.
  Which are, of course, hallmarks of Lefty World.
  If interested, you can actually read about it here.

Monday, November 7, 2016

Madame Secretary Versus Secretariat.

A very good friend of mine wrote that she was a nervous wreck going into the election and inquired if I felt the same. Everyone gets antsy at post time and frantic when the starting gate opens, some looking for a validation of their judgments and others hoping for a miracle. With less than 24 hour before the starting gun fires I can write that I'm extremely confident that Donald J. Trump will become the next President of the United States. I feel this for no other reason than the American electorate is occasionally imbued with a state of cussed orneriness. It savors the biblical prophecies that promise that the last shall be first and the first shall be last; the humble shall be exalted and the exalted shall be humbled. Humbling the exalted has always been a dear sentiment in the hearts of Americans. Michael Moore called it the FU vote in speech he has since regretted making. Notice he has his audience dancing on his hand but for some reason is now wishing he had kept his mouth shut.



Moving from the inspirational to the practical,the polls, no matter how skewed their samples definitely show Trump closing fast, breathtakingly fast! Two weeks ago Hillary was competitive in Texas; today she is fighting for blue Michigan. Ohio is all but ignored by the media as Trumps victory there is all but certain. The latest IBD/TIPP poll, the most accurate poll last cycle, has Trump leading by 2 points; 43% to 41%. The LA Times USC poll gives him a 5 point edge; 48 to 43%. Certainly there are more polls showing Hillary with lead but polling simply is not what it used to be. There are problems collecting random data as voters have moved from land lines to cell service. There is a proliferation of polling concerns that do not have the expertise to to conduct a poll and lastly there is biased polling the purpose being to drive the vote rather than to sample opinion. The ABC/Washington Post poll probably combines ineptitude with its bias. At one time it had Trump down by 13 only to have him up by 1 a week later. Public opinion just does not fluctuate like that. Currently it has Hillary up 4. Usually Democrats are over sampled often by 8 or 10 percentage points. Another cute trick is to over sample women or millennials, two groups that favor Hillary.
A demographic that gets little attention these days is the black vote. There were a few biased polls early on that showed Trump getting a mere 1%. There is some grousing on air about the black turnout being low in Florida and North Carolina but that is quickly brushed aside. There was one Rasmussen sample that showed Trump with 23% of the black vote. If that single datum is accurate it's lights out, game over, checkmate, Trump. Anything more than 13% and it's, tell you ma, tell your pa, I'm going to send you back to Arkansas. Gone is North Caroline, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Michigan.
We have been admonished to accept rigged and incompetent polling and to eschew so called anecdotal evidence and there may be some merit to that caution but when tens of thousands of Trump loyalist stand in half mile long lines for hours to see and hear the nominee while Hillary struggles to draw hundreds something is going on. The Trump rally in Leesburg, Virginia last night is one for the books. The event was originally scheduled for 9:30 pm, however due to overruns and delays Trump arrived around midnight. Yet they stayed.
When have we seen anything like the Trump phenomena?
We saw it 2010. Despite negative polling numbers when the day was over there were 63 new Republicans elected to congress. It waned in 2012 but 2014 saw another wave. We saw the failure of pollster and pundits in the Brexit vote just this year. I'm confident that Trump will prevail but something inside me senses a rout. Pollster Pat Caddell, who was on the wrong side of Reagan's 40 state victory, also sees a similarity to the 1980.
The greatest sporting event of my lifetime was the 1973 Belmont Stakes won by the legendary Secretariat. It was reported that the smart asses in the stands, read Matt Lewis, Bill Kristol and Jennifer Rubin could not see the victory even as Secretariat and Sham entered the third turn. Ron Turcotte, the jockey, according to the elite sporting experts, had failed to rate his mount, and Secretariat would die in the stretch. Penny Tweedy's super horse won by 31 lengths while setting a record that stands today. I post that epic race for your inspiration and my amusement. WE WILL WIN!

Thursday, November 3, 2016

Is it all going down today?

  I have no inside knowledge. Just reposting what is on Twitter today.
  There are rumors of a major DC pedophilia ring to be revealed, including pictures, video and email.
  If you're like me, you haven't been able to function quite fully for a few days.
  Well, here it goes.
  If you're not on Twitter, you need to be. Most of Hoosierman and my comments are reflected on Twitter rather than this blog these days.
  Start here. Note a Wikileaks informant has already been murdered to get this information out to the American people.
  And Dear God.... and here.
Wikileaks
An Anonymous account
Hector Morenco
Patriot for Trump

Monday, October 31, 2016

The Huma And The Hidden Risks of Cyber Sex

While speculation is running wild and logic has given way to lunacy on the part of the press and the #Never Trump minions I feel I can afford to indulge in some of my own wild speculation.
John Hinderaker at Powerline blog did an insightful calculation:
Time out. Weiner’s laptop contains 650,000 emails? If he sent or received 200 emails a day, 365 days a year–a considerable number!–it would take 3,250 days, or just about nine years, to accumulate 650,000 on the laptop’s hard drive. It is not clear–to me, anyway–what would cause such a large number of emails to reside on the laptop, absent some sort of bulk downloads.
Hinderaker makes the point that people in the Abedin-Weiner income strata do not share the same laptop. I'll give him that. Even the ultra plebeian Hoosierman domicile can boast of 7 WIFI devices, two PC's, two phones, two Kindles and a Samsung tablet. In general we do not use one another's devices simply because the settings are customized to our personal preferences.
Hillary served as Secretary of State from the beginning of the Obama administration in early 2009 until February of 2013 or roughly 4 years. So 650,000 / (365 x 4) equals 445 emails per day, still a prodigious number for clintonemail.com and more than the ever changing number that was supposedly turned over to the State Department sans the 33,000 personal missives germane to weddings and yoga.
One problem that no one in the media has addressed is how Hillary and her cronies kept up with correspondence when it arrived through both clintonmail.com and the State Department's secure server. Surely there were times when the team wanted to compare opinion and data from legitimate diplomatic sources to the rantings of the prolific Sydney Blumenthal. I have no idea of how many emails pass through State's secure server and that number is probably classified but were at least some of the State Department secure emails auto synced to the Chappaqua server? That would take some smarts and a security clearance but Bryan Pagliano had both. Also it's possible that Dame Hillary could access State's email server from home and she may have had a legitimate email account if for no other reason than appearance. Try this. Set up a Richard Windsor account and State's FOIA compliance detail can find no emails to Hillary on any given subject.
So when it came time to shut down the Chappaqua server were there no emails worth keeping? Well yes, So load them on a thumb drive and move them to the last place the feds would ever look. Hide them on the laptop of the unsuspecting Weiner perv in a folder labeled Life Insurance just down from the folder labeled Dick Pics. Who would ever look there?