Thursday, September 17, 2015
Florida is trending Republican
This Florida poll by PPP did not get much media attention. It was completed and released prior to the CNN debate and 32% of respondents answered "unsure" when asked to express either a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina. No matter. Evidently Florida voters don't care as long as it's not Hillary. Matched head to head Fiorina beats Clinton by 5%, 46% to 41%. Keep in mind Obama carried the Gator State twice but in this particular poll, conducted by a Democratic leaning pollster, practically any Republican can beat any Democrat. The fact that Hispanic voters made up 14% of the sample did not stop Trump from beating Hillary by 6 points but Hillary does squeak out a 45% to 43% victory over Ted Cruz. Here is an encapsulation of the results.
All this seems too good to be true. Let me express the usual caveats. This poll is of registered voters, not likely voters and it may be too early for polls to have much predictive value. That said, I would be positively sick if the numbers were reversed.