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Thursday, January 30, 2014

Democratic edge is slipping away

 This is an incredible! The graphic shows the decline in the advantage Democrats hold in party identification by state. In 2008 they had a 30 state advantage. Today the advantage is 3. While the trend is encouraging it does not necessarily assure the Republicans success. Notice that in 2010 the Democrats enjoyed a 12 state advantage which did not stop them from losing 7 Senate and 63 House races. Over the same time the number of competitive states increased from 10 to 19. These data are generated by a Gallup survey begun in 2008 and may differ from voter registration.

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