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Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Where is Kentucky's gender gap?

The latest Bluegrass poll gives Mitch McConnell a 2 point edge over his Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes. McConnell leads 47 percent to 45 percent. This is the first time McConnell has led in this poll but it shows steady momentum for Kentucky's senior senator. In a Bluegrass Poll released in February, Grimes was ahead of McConnell 46 percent to 42 percent. In May, pollsters added potential third-party candidates Ed Marksberry and David Patterson, but Grimes maintained a razor-thin lead of 43 percent to 42 percent.
With a bruising primary in the rear view mirror McConnell is leading a united Republican Party. Matt Bevin, McConnell's Tea Party challenger, has turned his attention to raising money for state legislator in hopes of capturing the state house for the first time since the 1920's.
National Democrats were adamant that Kentucky chose a woman to face McConnell. At first they courted Ashley Judd thinking that she may have picked up the makings of a senator in drug rehab but when Judd said no the honor fell to Grimes. So where are the women? There is no gender gap in Kentucky. Among women Grimes leads McConnell by a single point; 47percent to 46 percent. When libertarian candidate David Patterson is added to the field both McConnell and Grimes pull 39 percent of the female vote.
There is nothing like a young fresh race to attract younger voters. Sure! At 72 McConnell is as attractive as a fence post but that's good for the millennials. Among the 18 to 34 age group McConnell draws 49 percent to the attractive, 35 year old Grimes' 45 percent. To give credit were credit is due the GOP owes a huge debt of gratitude to President Obama who can boast of a hefty 28 percent approval rating in the Bluegrass State. 

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