Two new polls out today show Romney gaining and two vary tight senate races. Since I'm not familiar with either of these polls I'll be waiting for further confirmation from future polls. The Columbus Dispatch poll of 1758 likely voters has Obama and Romney tied at 45% each. Mandel and Brown are tied at 44% each.
Moving north, Republican Pete Hoekstra has a 1 point lead over Lancing heartthrob, Debbie Stabenow with 45% compared to Stabenow's 44%. The same poll, by Mitchell Research has Romney and Obama tied at 47% each. This poll has an exciting finding, at least from my point of view. Obama's lead among black voters has slipped from 92-5 to 73-26. Considering that in this poll 84% of black voters self identified as Democrats, Obama is running 11% behind his party. That's not how elections are won!
“The main argument that Obama supporters will make against the accuracy of this poll is
that Obama is only getting 73% of the vote from African-Americans. That fact, however, does
not make this poll inaccurate. I agree that eventually, at least 90% of African-Americans will
vote for Obama. Obama’s problem now is that he is running behind the party vote among
blacks. More than eight-in-ten blacks (84%) self-identify as Democrats. However, just 73% say
they are voting for Obama. He is running 11% behind his base party vote. That is not good
news. We have surveyed African-Americans that are Democrats. They’re just not voting for
Obama in the same manner yet that they did four years ago,” Mitchell said
In other word Obama will get 90% of the black vote but don't expect that vote to be large.
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