Yes, Carson is leading in Iowa but a blind man could have seen that coming. Two polls in the past two days show Carson leading Trump. See the Bloomberg/ Des Moines Register and the Quinnipiac polls. In recent years Iowa Republican caucuses have been dominated by born again Christians. They went for Rick Santorum in 2012 and Mike Huckabee in 2008. It is not surprising that they would warm to Ben Carson but the onus is on Carson to expand beyond this natural constituency.
If there is a story relative to presidential primaries it is Jeb Bush is in serious trouble. Bush has planned a meeting with his family this weekend and the campaign is beginning to circle the drain. Reminiscent of the Perry and Walker campaigns the campaign budget has been cut drastically. Salaried workers have become volunteers and funding is drying up. Last quarter he raised just $13.4 million, well behind Ben Carson's $20.8 million.
Bush has gotten very little for his money Since early last month New Hampshire has been bombarded with ads supporting him for President. His ad presence is more than all the other GOP candidates combined.With the combined spending of the Bush campaign and the Right to Rise super PAC, 4.8 million dollars have been spent on pro-Bush ads in New Hampshire, grabbing 60 percent of available air time, just to run third behind Trump and Carson. This guy has got a real problem!