Maybe those of us who read and write blogs are too close to the Republican campaign. We see things the larger public doesn't see but that better vision doesn't always manifest itself into better perception. If you've been reading conservative blogs lately you are probably of the mind that it's time to send Rick Perry's saddle home. Give his belt buckle to Romney and remember him fondly. Fortunately for Perry, not everyone sees things our way. Since the last debate, Ron Paul won a poll in California, Romney won one in Michigan, and Cain did the same in Florida. Without devoting a paragraph to the subject, let me just state that self selecting samples have no predictive value. People who vote in straw polls don't reflect the attitudes of the greater public. They are usually more partisan, more doctrinaire, and sometimes more provincial than the voting public.
The latest CNN poll shows Rick Perry to be alive and well and living in the Republican Party. True, three bad debates in a row have not helped him as he slipped two percentage points since the earlier poll but no one was there to pick up the pieces. Romney gained two points, as did Cain, Bachmann flat lined but Gingrich doubled his percentage of the take. Palin's numbers probably mean her following has given up on her entering the race and they are shopping elsewhere. When matched with Obama, Romney loses 49 to 48 percent, Perry loses 51 to 46 percent and Bachmann loses 54 to 42 percent. Ron Paul does better than Bachmann and Perry, losing 51 to 47 percent. While we wait for the first real elections we should remember two things. It's too early to predict the final outcome and don't believe everything you read on the internet.
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