It was never a swing state but Obama nearly pulled off an upset in Montana in 2008. He won't come close to that this time barring a monumental turnaround. In Montana Obama is so weak he trails Rick Perry by 3 percentage points and trails Mitt Romney by 10. Practically any Republican nominee would beat Obama. While Montana's three electoral votes won't make or break a candidate's bid for the White House the down ballot effect could prove troubling to Senator John Tester. Tester is more popular than his Republican opponent,
Denny Rehberg but could very easily lose. Obama's trouble with white voters is magnified in states such as Montana, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire that have large white voter populations. The Cook Political Report rates both Montana and Wisconsin's senatorial races as toss ups.
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