Clinton trails 8 of the 11 Republican hopefuls in hypothetical match ups, although most of the margins are close. The strongest performers against her are Ben Carson who leads 47/40 and Marco Rubio who has a 45/41 advantage. Carson and Rubio have been the strongest performing Republicans in the general election in all three of the polls we've done since the debate.Although technically North Carolina is still classified as a swing state that is the result of a single election. Prior to 2008 North Carolina was a typical red state. In 2008 it went for Obama, retired Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole replacing her with Kay Hagan and elected Democrat Bev Purdue as governor. Since that aberration Republicans have won every major election and the state went for Romney in 2012. Taken with the results of a recent Quinnipiac poll showing Hillary losing to a host of Republicans in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia it appears the finely tuned Clinton machine is slinging oil by the quart.
Doing the worst against Clinton are Rand Paul who trails 44/40, Chris Christie who trails 40/39, and Jeb Bush who ties Clinton at 42. In between, all with leads of 1-3 points over Clinton, are Carly Fiorina (42/41), John Kasich (41/40), Ted Cruz (45/43), Mike Huckabee (46/44), Donald Trump (45/42), and Scott Walker (44/41).
Turning to the Republican primary Donald Trump widened his lead to 24%, Ben Carson placed second with 14% and Jeb Bush grabbed 13% to show.
Donald Trump | 24% |
Ben Carson | 14% |
Jeb Bush | 13% |
Ted Cruz | 10% |
Marco Rubio | 9% |
Carly Fiorina | 6% |
Mike Huckabee | 6% |
Scott Walker | 6% |
Rand Paul | 3% |
Chris Christie | 2% |
Rick Santorum | 2% |
John Kasich | 1% |
Rick Perry | 1% |
All others | <1% |
Undecided | 3% |
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