It's probably too early to book your hotel reservations to attend
Jim Oberweis' victory party. Rolling a sitting senator is an uphill trudge even for a strong candidate which Oberweis is not, still Senator Dick Durbin is showing vulnerability. A poll conducted by We Ask America shows the exceeding bland, perennially unsuccessful officer seeker, Oberweis to be within 7 points of the exalted Durbin.. Axiomatically, weak parties produce weak candidates and the Illinois Republican Party is near moribund.
Governor Pat Quinn is losing to the Republican challenger, Bruce Rauner in the governor's race by 7 points in the Real Clear Politics average of polls so Durbin's survival depends upon massive ticket splitting. For my money Durbin is as exciting as a bucket of dry wall mud so if the race comes down to personalities it's a pure toss up. The is plenty of anecdotal evidence that Chicago voters, especially black Chicago voters, have had their fill of hope and change. They don't have to vote Republican for Oberweis to win. All they have to do is stay home.
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