Monday, December 19, 2011

Ron Paul Leads In Iowa

The latest Public Policy Polling Iowa poll shows Ron Paul leading with 23%, Mitt Romney is in second with 20% and Newt Gingrich a distant third with 14%. It was only two weeks ago that Gingrich told us he would be the nominee. One has to love his humility or maybe one just savors his humiliation. Tied for fourth with 10% each are Bachmann, Perry, and Santorum. Jon Huntsman has 4% and Gary Johnson 2%.

This is the second poll in two weeks that shows Gingrich losing ground. He has gone from 27 to 22 to 14 percent. His favorability numbers have gone from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to -1 (46/47). In addition to having more support right now Paul also has firmer support (73% solidly committed) than Romney does (68% solidly committed.) But at the same time Romney appears to have more room for growth, which could allow him to overtake Paul in the last two weeks.

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